Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $219.28
- Potential profit
- $209.76
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Polymarket Trader
0x16b6...17a8
0x16b670fed249e55e7c6c49d37bebbd8922e217a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $103.5
- Realized PnL
- $13.39
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Y
Yes position
Will episode not air?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $106.24
- Potential profit
- $104.97
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.72
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Experiment" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $20.45
- Potential payout
- $58.1
- Potential profit
- $37.65
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- $19.45
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $56.19
- Potential profit
- $55.76
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $54.42
- Potential profit
- $53.71
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
N
No position
Will anyone say "Bounty" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $53.16
- Potential profit
- $52.6
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $51.66
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $43.57
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $37.93
- Potential profit
- $37.19
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Password" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $16.34
- Potential payout
- $34.05
- Potential profit
- $17.7
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $15.34
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $29.21
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $0.09
N
No position
Will anyone say "Hell" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $28.59
- Potential profit
- $28.13
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.4%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 2.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
N
No position
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.31
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.69
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.1
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 2 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $4.96
- Multiplier
- 5.97x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.91
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
N
No position
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $4.04
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Morty" 20+ times during Rick and Morty E7 S9?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Y
Yes position
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Y
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.29
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0
Y
Yes position
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Y
Yes position
France to score first vs. Paraguay?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Breaking News" in July?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Cosmos" in July?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in July?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Movie Star" in July?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in July 2026?Yes 19% 5.26 shares
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in July?Yes 1.8% 54.42 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in July?Yes 90% 1.11 shares