Polymarket Trader

montoya2026

0x16c08cd0c014067536ef11acf54c3c1798ac7b66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.92
Realized PnL: $166.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.08
Potential profit: $129.08
User PnL: -$6.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.88
Potential profit: $61.88
User PnL: -$3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.12
Potential profit: $61.12
User PnL: -$3.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.47
Potential profit: $52.47
User PnL: -$8.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.41
Potential profit: $44.41
User PnL: -$2.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$9.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.37
Potential profit: $35.37
User PnL: -$4.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.91
Potential profit: $30.91
User PnL: -$4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.71
Potential profit: $23.71
User PnL: -$1.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.22
Potential profit: $20.22
User PnL: -$5.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.88
Potential profit: $16.88
User PnL: -$2.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$2.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.51
Potential profit: $8.51
User PnL: -$0.94

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.92
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$2.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94
Potential profit: $3.94
User PnL: -$0.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97
Potential profit: $1.97
User PnL: -$0.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 99% 4.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 7.41 shares
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 29% 9.79 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 10.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 10.71 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 58% 7.41 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

No 99.2% 4.34 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 79% 6.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

Up 24% 3.71 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

No 33% 3.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Up 45% 2.05 shares