Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $148.14
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $25.26
Polymarket Trader
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0x16c2a114f93dbdf0d91428737cab3f0f7fcc01dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $148.14
- Realized PnL
- $28.16
- Win rate
- 95%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9.3
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Bayonne win?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will France win?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 9% 1,365.36 shares
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No 96.9% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 94% 20 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 74% 20 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.6% 20 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 80% 10 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 98.2% 10 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No 88% 5 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 79% 20 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 71% 10 shares
- Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?Yes 95% 20 shares