Polymarket Trader

HawkishEdge

0x16c9e3c6b12f190748c00dfc9a3101b9aea917af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.2
Realized PnL: $3.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $377.36
Potential profit: $376.79
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$38.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $166.66
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.57
Potential profit: $154.57
User PnL: -$52.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.05
Potential profit: $147.05
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $139.14
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$16.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.15
Potential profit: $138.15
User PnL: -$40.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$24.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$41.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.13
Potential profit: $135.13
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.77
Potential profit: $134.77
User PnL: -$12.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.5
Potential profit: $130.5
User PnL: -$46.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.2
Potential profit: $128.2
User PnL: -$41.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$48.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.04
Potential profit: $119.04
User PnL: -$41.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.27
Potential profit: $116.27
User PnL: -$28.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $115.92
Potential payout: $116.27
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $73.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$42.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.69
Potential profit: $108.69
User PnL: -$47.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$39.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.85

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.87

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.55

No position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.86

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?

Yes 36.5% 116.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?

Yes 48% 102.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?

Yes 39% 125 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?

Yes 44% 89.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 15?

Yes 39.9% 70.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 15?

Yes 49.3% 80.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 15?

Yes 41% 87.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 15?

Yes 30.6% 135.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?

Yes 35% 98.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?

Yes 16.6% 96.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?

Yes 48% 90.9 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?

Yes 23.1% 104.16 shares