Polymarket Trader

bull2020

0x16ccbeb54aa7779b2d9ec1c9abf17492b28aec40

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.16K
Realized PnL: $134.29
Win rate: 76.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $587.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.1

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $457.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $42.5
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.2%
Current value: $115.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $384.24
Multiplier: 4.32x
User PnL: -$79.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.06
Potential profit: $191.06
User PnL: -$20.83

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.03
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.2

No position

Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.15

No position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.1

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Washington Huskies position

San Diego Toreros vs. Washington Huskies

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 21, 8PM ET

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.39

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 89% 500 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 94% 400 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Yes 95.3% 150 shares
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.9% and 2.2%?

No 59.9% 200 shares
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

No 87% 100 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 4.9% 22 shares
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?

Yes 99.8% 59.88 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?

Yes 11% 84.63 shares
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?

Yes 10% 20 shares
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?

Yes 76% 59.88 shares
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 12% 0.19 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 39.1% 5 shares