Polymarket Trader

brzcfh

0x16d2d15e5df6b3505d2de38b94f7f3ba3c17b413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $164.29
Realized PnL: $71.84
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$82.69

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.73
Potential profit: $615.73
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $174.68
Potential profit: $173.9
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $170.74
Potential profit: $170.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$19.74

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.03
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

U.S. recession before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.35
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $103.3
Potential profit: $102.94
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $92.62
Potential profit: $90.07
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$13.8

Yes position

Will River Plate win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.4
Potential profit: $85.4
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $65.25
Potential payout: $84.14
Potential profit: $18.89
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.26

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Inter Miami CF win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 91.4%
Current value: $69.54
Potential payout: $76.12
Potential profit: $6.58
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $69.84
Potential profit: $69.18
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $58.86
Potential profit: $57.13
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.49
Potential profit: $54.49
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.75
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.13
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.15

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.03

No position

50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.08

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 4.8%
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?

Yes 27% 7.41 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 21% 9.52 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64.4% 3.11 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 14 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 51% 3.92 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 77% 13.69 shares
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?

Yes 4.5% 24.39 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 44% 50 shares