Polymarket Trader

michaellseller

0x16d8b03498ef8ac1237c82eaf25fde5f7e5d698b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.11K
Realized PnL: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $946.8
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $298.33
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.81

Brandon Nakashima position

Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $622.62
Potential profit: $622.62
User PnL: -$500

Iga Swiatek position

Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $553.67
Potential profit: $553.67
User PnL: -$388

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $486.7
Potential payout: $531.91
Potential profit: $45.21
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$13.3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $302.9
Potential payout: $477
Potential profit: $174.11
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$65.87

Yes position

Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $17.84
Potential payout: $302.35
Potential profit: $284.51
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $109.35
Potential payout: $280.38
Potential profit: $171.03
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $94.87
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $161.54
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $119.25
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $97.83
Potential payout: $149.35
Potential profit: $51.53
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will STRC hit $100 by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $19.68
Potential payout: $138.17
Potential profit: $118.5
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$0.32

Rafael Jodar position

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $120.48
User PnL: -$100

Anna Kalinskaya position

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.65
Potential profit: $105.65
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.27
Potential profit: $73.27
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Matteo Berrettini position

Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Fils

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.27

Grigor Dimitrov position

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrov

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.49

Taylor Fritz position

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Sonego

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188

Hubert Hurkacz position

Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paul

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.03

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.23

Jan-Lennard Struff position

Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.07

Alexander Bublik position

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.57

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.28

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.68

Roman Safiullin position

Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Botic van de Zandschulp

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.29

Maya Joint position

Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.21

Rafael Jodar position

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.25

Alex de Minaur position

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Adrian Mannarino

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.98

Roman Safiullin position

Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.6

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.69

Marta Kostyuk position

Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyuk

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.99

Alex de Minaur position

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajda

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.75

Jiri Lehecka position

Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Jaume Munar

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

Flavio Cobolli position

Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.56

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.65

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $40.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.22

Matteo Berrettini position

Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettini

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.96

Tommy Paul position

Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Tommy Paul

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 56.5% 8.85 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 56.5% 17.7 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 57.7% 17.32 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 62% 32.27 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 70% 95.77 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Brazil 81% 95.78 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 66.9% 7.47 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 59.9% 33.39 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 69.9% 14.31 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

No 69.9% 71.55 shares