No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Polymarket Trader
frroschi
0x16d94d682aaeb4d51cfe355a035f7031e25ffab9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.95
- Realized PnL
- $59.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?No 62% 1.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?No 66% 1.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 7?No 83% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 7?No 60% 1.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 7?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 7?No 68% 1.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 7?No 83% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?No 74% 1.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 7?No 74% 1.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 7?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 7?No 78% 1.28 shares