Guest288228

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $734.1
Potential payout: $16.5K
Potential profit: $15.76K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $34.12

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $188.52
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$11.48

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $199.28
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $759.61
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $500.51
Potential payout: $514.93
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $374.99
Potential profit: $373.12
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $175.59
Potential profit: $175.33
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.77
Potential profit: $114.77
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.21
Potential profit: $64.21
User PnL: -$6.68

Yes position

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.59
Potential profit: $63.59
User PnL: -$7.97

Yes position

Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.47
Potential profit: $43.47
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.35
Potential profit: $26.35
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.83
Potential profit: $21.83
User PnL: -$9.91

Over position

Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $141.45

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $100.16

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $79.72

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.9%
Multiplier: 6.73x
User PnL: $74.5

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.63

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.2

Yes position

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $45.82

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.57

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.8

Yes position

Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.45

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.74

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $31.66

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $31.62

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $29.19

Yes position

Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.18

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.06

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $27.58

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.86

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $21.91

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.14

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $19.82

Yes position

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.33

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $19.18

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?