Polymarket Trader

0x16eb98567650d7F80cAb76Eac21f1f45074B8b06-1770228083590

0x16eb98567650d7f80cab76eac21f1f45074b8b06

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $153.34
Realized PnL: $3.74K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $137.07
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$588.6

Yes position

Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $901.36
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $507.65
Potential profit: $507.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $411.88
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $274.03
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250.95
Potential profit: $250.95
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.84
Potential profit: $192.84
User PnL: -$25.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.05
Potential profit: $106.05
User PnL: -$29.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.77
Potential profit: $98.77
User PnL: -$25.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$9.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.63
Potential profit: $82.63
User PnL: -$2.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.81
Potential profit: $65.81
User PnL: -$14.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.91
Potential profit: $15.91
User PnL: -$4.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $10.35
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.53

Yes position

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.11

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.57

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 1?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ethena be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will XRP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$42.81

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.94

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$229.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 6.6% 625 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 5.3% 2,946.84 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 14% 250 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 9% 166.66 shares
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 0.4% 5,000 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 13% 1,573.92 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Yes 13% 1,122.92 shares
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 12.6% 1,155.81 shares
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 11.2% 1,155.81 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 43% 300 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 45% 1,912.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Down 28% 104.97 shares