Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $68.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $191.89
Polymarket Trader
0x16EF8EaaC2a7D8C45EB64d1268feADAAF94592B6-1734445939656
0x16ef8eaac2a7d8c45eb64d1268feadaaf94592b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.28
- Potential profit
- $334.28
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.18
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.55
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.43
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.52
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.4
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.48
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.72
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-17?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.5
No position
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Solana dip to $160 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.5% 7,692.3 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.7% 1,500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.6% 1,500 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 40% 75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 80.3% 1,500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 7.2% 1,500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 78.2% 1,500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 34.8% 1,500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 75.2% 1,500 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 5.6% 10,594.95 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 4.7% 10,594.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 92% 1,500 shares