Polymarket Trader

kdamyanov

0x16f52e7a5dc729be35ca5b5c21b62c531c92fb5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.46
Realized PnL: $118.11
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $122.05
Potential payout: $144.43
Potential profit: $22.39
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.14
Potential profit: $93.14
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.92
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.43
Potential profit: $39.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.64
Potential profit: $26.64
User PnL: -$1

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.35
Potential profit: $25.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.24
Potential profit: $25.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.76
Potential profit: $20.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.67

Yes position

Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 92% 144.43 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca 37% 30.3 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca 66% 30.3 shares
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 25.24 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

No 97.7% 165.71 shares
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

No 3.8% 26.64 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

No 97.6% 21.21 shares
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?

Yes 96.2% 145.04 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

No 70.7% 21.22 shares