pp155

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $900.7
Potential profit: $900.25
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.06

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $900.7
Potential profit: $899.35
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$20.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.96
Potential profit: $695.96
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.07
Potential profit: $536.07
User PnL: -$11.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on April 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.61
Potential profit: $296.61
User PnL: -$2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 12.1%
Multiplier: 8.30x
User PnL: $299.33

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $289.29

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $287.15

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: $286.37

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $258.08

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $256.81

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $244.01

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.28

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $213.44

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.68

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $147.04

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $143.6

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.7%
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: $140.37

Yes position

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $134.93

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $129.96

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.18

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $125.79

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $122.19

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $120.54

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $118.48

Yes position

Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $118.14

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $117.01

Yes position

Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?