No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $226.44
- Potential payout
- $435.46
- Potential profit
- $209.02
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $6.44
Polymarket Trader
0x16FfA51C5aAfc2E9c15b695269Bc805eecC4c0Ef-1760119699880
0x16ffa51c5aafc2e9c15b695269bc805eecc4c0ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $576.77
- Realized PnL
- $121.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $178.74
- Potential payout
- $334.09
- Potential profit
- $155.35
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $68.74
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $117.69
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $36.15
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $17.69
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $50.62
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $3.28
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.64
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- $23.81
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No 65% 153.85 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No 51.2% 195.39 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No 50.3% 39.8 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No 49.9% 200.28 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 13.6% 909.09 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No 81% 3.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 33% 30.3 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 32.9% 303.79 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 11% 909.09 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 60.7% 164.78 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 60.3% 82.86 shares