No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $11K
- Potential payout
- $13.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$203.85
Polymarket Trader
IronWill1982
0x170861b721e03793cd0c78928422d569d30f5298
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11K
- Realized PnL
- $763.28
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $190.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Scroll airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Linea airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.83
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5% 1,250 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5% 1,250 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes 12.2% 142.23 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes 17% 142.24 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 98.8% 19.64 shares
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?No 94.7% 8.91 shares
- Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No 97.2% 3.11 shares
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No 97.6% 2.1 shares
- Tether Insolvent in 2024?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No 97.5% 59.79 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No 96.3% 3.12 shares