dosencpui

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.13
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.13
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50.21
Potential profit: $50.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $48.44
Potential profit: $48.25
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $48.44
Potential profit: $48.39
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48.44
Potential profit: $48.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48.44
Potential profit: $48.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48.44
Potential profit: $48.42
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $43.44
Potential profit: $43.14
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.88
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.44
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 42°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $33.96
Potential profit: $33.93
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 43°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $33.96
Potential profit: $33.93
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 41°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $33.96
Potential profit: $33.81
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $32.31
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.85
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.18
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108°F or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $20.25
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.63
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.82
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 40°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $29.82
Potential profit: $29.66
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $28.96
Potential profit: $28.6
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.7
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 100°F or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.84
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $27.91
Potential profit: $27.84
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.2
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $12.17
Potential payout: $26.16
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $9.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $24.69
Potential payout: $24.81
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.66
Potential profit: $24.64
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $548.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $258.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $241.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $161.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $154.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $149.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $141.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $122.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $120.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $119.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $117.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 9?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.23

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.24

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 3?