Polymarket Trader

0x17228b1AE1ce5288F3D485db83461b6292D0165A-1773301947975

0x17228b1ae1ce5288f3d485db83461b6292d0165a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $90.63
Realized PnL: $208.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.7
Potential profit: $102.7
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $82.58
Potential profit: $77.09
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Heather McPherson win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.95
Potential profit: $67.95
User PnL: -$7.07

No position

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.56
Potential profit: $66.56
User PnL: -$15.19

Yes position

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $47.14
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $36.64
Potential profit: $32.06
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $9.09
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $26.91
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: -$16.74

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $18.69
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$8.13

No position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.43
Potential profit: $8.43
User PnL: -$3.46

No position

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $7.56
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $6.84
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.73
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Yes position

Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Utah

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Motiv Esports position

Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Danny Silva position

UFC Fight Night: Danny Silva vs. Kurtis Campbell (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

No position

Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $151?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

US Avellino 1912 vs. FC Südtirol: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Down position

XRP Up or Down on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Over position

North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Zizou Bergs position

Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jenson Brooksby

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Utah State Aggies position

Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5

Over 50% 4.96 shares
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5

Over 50% 4.96 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 50% 5 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 50% 5 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 51% 4.96 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 51% 4.96 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 50% 5 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 51% 4.96 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 50% 5 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 51% 4.96 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 50% 5 shares
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)

Vanderbilt Commodores 51% 4.96 shares