anon987986786

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $17.28
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.33

Just Players position

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $3.43
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.47

Marie Bouzkova position

Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.05

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $9.51
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $8.83
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $7.07
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: -$0

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $6.65
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $0.23

Subtop De France position

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $6.63
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

MIBR Academy position

Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $6.31
Potential profit: $3.16
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

MIBR Academy position

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $3.05
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Egypt position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $2.62
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $2.71
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $5.74
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.03

Loneer Kavanagh position

UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $3.83
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.14

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.03

Maria position

Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $1.75
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $4.27
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $4.96
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.46

9z position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.94

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.01

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.19

Under position

New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

Cleveland Guardians position

Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.5

Team Lynx position

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.47

Yes position

Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.69

Yes position

Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

Hurricanes position

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.11

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.61

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.08

REKONIX position

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.56

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Athletics position

Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.65

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

KT Rolster position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.08

Over position

Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.05

FULL SENSE position

Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs