No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $22.18
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Polymarket Trader
0x173a...584c
0x173a73c8ac33bb06c26044873855084eec80584c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $137.48
- Realized PnL
- $346.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the announcers say "Temperature" during the Japan vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Jean Matsumoto position
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $9.07
- Potential payout
- $14.74
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $14.34
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
T1 Academy position
Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.27
- Potential payout
- $14.28
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Javier Reyes position
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $8.97
- Potential payout
- $13.7
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
eternal premium position
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $12.68
- Potential profit
- $3.74
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Asu Almabayev position
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $12.56
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yellow Submarine position
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $4.06
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $11.25
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Daniil Donchenko position
UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $11.04
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Donstu Esports position
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
New York Yankees position
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
Jasmine Paolini position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Yes position
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02
Inoue position
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Delhi Capitals position
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.61
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.13
Zachary Svajda position
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.1
No position
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Colorado Rockies position
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
T1 Academy position
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.77
Diego Lopes position
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 62% 14.34 shares
- Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Beternal premium 71% 12.68 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)Jean Matsumoto 62% 14.74 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)Daniil Donchenko 83% 11.04 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)Javier Reyes 67% 13.7 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)Asu Almabayev 72% 12.56 shares
- Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 WinnerT1 Academy 64% 14.28 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 59% 16.14 shares
- Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group CDonstu Esports 70% 5 shares
- Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 0 Australia?No 84% 10.65 shares
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to ScoreNo 62% 14.34 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?No 55% 16.15 shares