Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
ikr5
0x17425af11f7635ef7cffeec3b24de6deab7738e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.33K
- Realized PnL
- $1.48K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $70.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $41.3
Yes position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.77
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.14
No position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Obama endorse Mamdani?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.71
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.64
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.85
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $64.4
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.94
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.81
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.26
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.91
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
No position
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will GameStop buy more Bitcoin before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Yes position
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Yes position
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$50.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 17% 29.41 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 26% 76.92 shares
- Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 26% 76.92 shares
- Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 28% 71.43 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 92% 1,400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.5% 1,431.15 shares