Polymarket Trader

MrVarma

@mrvarmax

0x1748b273b3b6c02038448951a917c29894735e9e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $467.66
Realized PnL: $3.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $206.49
Potential payout: $218.74
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $114.53
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $86.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $13.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 22.7%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $28.85
Potential profit: $22.3
Multiplier: 4.41x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$11.55

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$4.62

No position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$13.86

No position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$12.6

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$11.34

No position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$10.5

Over position

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$9.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

FUT Esports position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.79

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.45

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.36

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?

No 90% 41 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Over 43% 21 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 22% 21 shares
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime?

No 55% 21 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 54% 21 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

No 89% 41 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

No 50% 21 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 21 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 38% 21 shares
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?

No 60% 21 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

No 77% 21 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?

No 84% 41 shares