No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $45.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $39.46
Polymarket Trader
RoadToM3in2026
@PolishGreekGod
0x176706489f7079942c13e2b427c1508d0343f209
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.84K
- Realized PnL
- $6.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be greater than $170M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $785.14
- Potential profit
- $785.14
- User PnL
- -$102.29
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $61.34
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $249.22
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $42.39
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $268.17
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be less than $125M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $284.71
- Potential profit
- $284.71
- User PnL
- -$51.25
Yes position
Will United Kingdom come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.64
- Potential profit
- $227.64
- User PnL
- -$1.17
No position
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $30
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Denmark come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.34
- Potential profit
- $103.34
- User PnL
- -$7.44
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $97.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will LeBron James buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.7
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $6.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $8.15
JD Gaming position
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.65
- Potential profit
- $94.65
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will France come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.29
- Potential profit
- $91.29
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.82
- Potential profit
- $90.82
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Yes position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Yes position
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.04
- Potential profit
- $52.04
- User PnL
- -$11.97
Yes position
Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be below 0%?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will Moldova come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Tennessee Volunteers position
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.1
Yes position
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.27
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.38
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.11
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.65
Nebraska Cornhuskers position
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.89
Yes position
Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.5
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.21
Yes position
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 12 be between 80 and 85?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.86
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.65
Yes position
Democratic sweep?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
No position
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.97
Yes position
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 69% 72.46 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares
- Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 27% 4.1 shares
- Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 21.1 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Tuyo launch a token by September 30, 2027?Yes 47% 100 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?No 95% 140.67 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.25 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Yes 40% 20 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?No 78% 43.19 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Yes 22% 26.81 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Yes 8% 43.33 shares