TLHP

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.93
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.28
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.92
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.48
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 19?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.33
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on July 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on July 20?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 19?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 19?