Polymarket Trader

shameonu-pol-ymarket

0x1773dc24274c0777c8134f12809027285f91f4e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.02
Realized PnL: $14.96K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $5.47K
User PnL: -$1.19K

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.69
Potential profit: $478.69
User PnL: -$76.59

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $17.02
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $392.99
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.46
User PnL: -$0.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09K

Yes position

OpenAI social app in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610.61

Yes position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.85

Yes position

OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282

No position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.99

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.67

No position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.85

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.19

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.6

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.76

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.18

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

No position

Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $7.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$0.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.7% 200 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.7% 100 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.7% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 50% 20 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 72% 29.99 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 6.7% 620 shares
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 2.2% 5.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 44% 75.62 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 91% 33.33 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 60% 33.33 shares
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Yes 48.6% 20 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 16% 620 shares