No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- User PnL
- -$4
Polymarket Trader
HylaArborea
0x1777e3b6d38dd4d3d9c01f4dc525f954b4e84e65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.14
- Realized PnL
- $99.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 1?No 91% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?No 70.8% 5.65 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?Yes 77.1% 5.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?No 80% 5.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?No 76% 5.26 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 1?No 79% 5.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?No 82% 5.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?No 50% 5.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 30?No 97% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?No 40% 5.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 30?No 91% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?Yes 51% 5.19 shares