Yes position
Will Charleen Murphy be cast on Love Island UK: Season 13?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $652.26
- Potential profit
- $652.26
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Polymarket Trader
47gds
0x1787d7f51cb4df9272345e2b353bb0d5db7d58c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.62
- Realized PnL
- $0.17
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce Michael Ellis as the next Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $630.14
- Potential profit
- $630.14
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Will Andoni Iraola be the next manager of Crystal Palace?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.84
- Potential profit
- $413.84
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $181.6
- Potential profit
- $180.96
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Zinedine Zidane be the next manager of Benfica?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.38
- Potential profit
- $174.38
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $145.77
- Potential profit
- $145.04
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Team WE win LPL 2026 Split 2?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.94
- Potential profit
- $144.94
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.6
- Potential profit
- $135.6
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $120.2
- Potential profit
- $119.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Matt Ortega win the CA-14 special election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $86.1
- Potential profit
- $85.72
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Aiemann Zahabi next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $85.84
- Potential profit
- $85.71
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Denver Broncos in 2026-27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $79.9
- Potential profit
- $79.78
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of Benfica?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.75
- Potential profit
- $61.75
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will GameStop Q1 net sales be above $500M?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.73
- Potential profit
- $56.73
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the New York Jets in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $42.38
- Potential profit
- $42.32
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Washington Commanders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $41.3
- Potential profit
- $41.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.9
- Potential profit
- $39.9
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Yes position
Will Kristi Noem be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 14, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $30.76
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $29.78
- Potential profit
- $29.24
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $27.72
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Rand Paul be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 14, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $27.32
- Potential profit
- $26.36
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $22.3
- Potential profit
- $22.27
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Marco Pašalić win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
Ends Nov 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $21.95
- Potential profit
- $21.94
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Alex Pereira be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $19.56
- Potential profit
- $19.53
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah play in Egyptian Premier League next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Ends Sep 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Cotie McMahon win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Sep 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Julio Tavares record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Anders Dreyer win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
Ends Nov 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
Ends Aug 10, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Julio Enciso record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Lamar Jackson traded by next season?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Son Heung-min record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the match end in a draw?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes 16.5% 5 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes 0.2% 63.5 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes 0.2% 21.6 shares
- Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Yes 24.2% 12.4 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes 1.6% 25.4 shares
- Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes 1.3% 15 shares
- Will Anders Dreyer win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?Yes 0.1% 15 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Yes 0.7% 17.8 shares
- Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?Yes 12.3% 7.2 shares
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Yes 8.4% 6.24 shares
- Will Cotie McMahon win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes 0.2% 11.7 shares
- Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 2% 5.05 shares