Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $281.62
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Polymarket Trader
0x1788C2D550cB45343BC2C9F8C8b29FFDD525c142-1761071952800
0x1788c2d550cb45343bc2c9f8c8b29ffdd525c142
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.53
- Realized PnL
- $132.64
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $17.42
- Potential payout
- $183.33
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$74.58
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.43
- Potential profit
- $44.43
- User PnL
- -$36.64
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.83
- Potential profit
- $29.83
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.94
- Potential payout
- $16.1
- Potential profit
- $7.17
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.54
- Potential payout
- $10.41
- Potential profit
- $6.87
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.65
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.06
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?Yes 48% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 14?No 65% 7.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 15?Yes 31% 5.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 15?Yes 37% 5.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?Yes 49% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 15?Yes 31% 5.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 15?Yes 37% 5.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?Yes 48% 6 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.9% 12.5 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 66% 50 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 100 shares