Polymarket Trader

0x178D48D6fA0421A3A05923fFc02F519b5a75C0f5-1767959959668

0x178d48d6fa0421a3a05923ffc02f519b5a75c0f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $338.51
Realized PnL: $227.2
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $94.79
Potential payout: $947.92
Potential profit: $853.13
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$301.82

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $177.06
Potential payout: $931.91
Potential profit: $754.85
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$90.01

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $23.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.12
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $3.27
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $12.51
Potential profit: $2.44
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.29
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $9.62
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.05
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.58

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.4

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

No 50% 50 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 28% 1,250 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 67% 14.93 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 79.9% 12.51 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 87% 11.49 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 63% 15.87 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 92% 10.87 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 5.97 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 80% 12.5 shares