Polymarket Trader

Notlarsa

0x17924d7fe35ab9707ccd826d0e27b25c9ca61ba6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.53
Realized PnL: $40.86
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.82K
Potential profit: $9.82K
User PnL: -$19.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.86K
User PnL: -$18.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.64
Potential profit: $291.64
User PnL: -$11.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $23.71
Potential payout: $182.36
Potential profit: $158.65
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $13.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.15
Potential profit: $127.15
User PnL: -$8.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.02
Potential profit: $120.02
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.36
Potential profit: $58.36
User PnL: -$4.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.66
Potential profit: $19.66
User PnL: -$9.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $15.33
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.36
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.09
Potential profit: $8.09
User PnL: -$4.86

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Down 5% 17.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Down 8% 10.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 60% 7.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Down 31% 14.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 2% 42.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 5% 51.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 19% 23.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Down 55% 17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 1% 857.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Down 1% 857.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Up 40% 22.84 shares
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 0.2% 4,818.15 shares