Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $27.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $639.33
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Polymarket Trader
0x1793...5fec
0x1793d4396b3e744875261273e5b806fd43705fec
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $152.16
- Realized PnL
- $140.8
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.21
- Potential profit
- $188.21
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $149.25
- Potential profit
- $143.66
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $134.53
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.87
- Potential payout
- $118.24
- Potential profit
- $109.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$44.34
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $51.37
- Potential payout
- $67.16
- Potential profit
- $15.78
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $26.27
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.14
- Potential profit
- $58.14
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $40.97
- Potential payout
- $43.29
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $30.97
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.1%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $23.92
- Potential profit
- $16.02
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $21.76
- Potential profit
- $20.46
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.17
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $9.05
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $3.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.7
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.74
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 37.4% 67.16 shares
- Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 59.2% 34.22 shares
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 1.9% 46.84 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 0.1% 104.67 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75% 35.92 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 14.7% 186.07 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 18.4% 186.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 30% 83.33 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 61.8% 46.85 shares