N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $647.86
- Potential profit
- $647.86
- User PnL
- -$294
Polymarket Trader
Pradogusto
0x179a13d51f4f9683b4ef08eb358a80ad6a3fb41a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $271.2
- Realized PnL
- $97.63
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $221.45
- Potential payout
- $234.34
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $26.95
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $49.75
- Potential payout
- $62.98
- Potential profit
- $13.23
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.79
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $34.41
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $33.45
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.33
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
No position
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 74.3% 62.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 94% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 83% 284.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.1% 187.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93.8% 159.95 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 95.6% 114.65 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 104.31 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 90.3% 27.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.1% 175.84 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 42% 16.36 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 24.2% 40.11 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 15% 23 shares