Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $15.38
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $61.54
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $5.38
Polymarket Trader
0x179f...218b
0x179f8ac37f7a60d1351eac7b1cd96d562643218b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.38
- Realized PnL
- $52.1
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.17
- Potential profit
- $18.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $15.34
No position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 27 be greater than 2,800,000?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 25 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 55% 18.17 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?Yes 66% 15.15 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?No 1.3% 12.5 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?No 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 40% 3.7 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No 44% 3.57 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?No 28% 3.57 shares
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No 89% 5.62 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.1% 714.28 shares