Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $137
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$39
Polymarket Trader
xfm-3-8
0x17b73dcc1466923fb47a4eea7a8c094f321fb25d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $63
- Realized PnL
- -$90.64
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $41.6
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$43.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No 82% 130 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No 50% 130 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Yes 17% 150 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 10% 190 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?Yes 44% 160 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 53 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 53 shares