Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.84K
- Potential profit
- $5.84K
- User PnL
- -$2.51K
Polymarket Trader
irfdfse
0x17b7b65322b3086670e70fa47ea2bd535d19cb60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.94
- Realized PnL
- $150.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $183.94
- Potential payout
- $194.96
- Potential profit
- $11.02
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.26
- Potential profit
- $146.26
- User PnL
- -$118.47
Twins position
Cubs vs. Twins
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.25
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- User PnL
- -$15.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.52
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2800 on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?No 94.9% 177.25 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 165.52 shares
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?Yes 43% 5,839.53 shares
- Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No 99.4% 106.25 shares
- Will Solana dip to $150 in September?No 99.3% 20.44 shares
- Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No 99.3% 30 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?No 99.5% 25.47 shares
- Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?No 99.5% 75.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?No 99.4% 75.06 shares
- Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes 99.6% 74.61 shares
- Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?No 99.4% 74.29 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No 97.8% 73.84 shares