Polymarket Trader

Paradise Capital

0x17bf9e17bc58980772907a666e318a2a30e46731

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.9K
Realized PnL: $22.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $5.06K
User PnL: -$1.54K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: -$320

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$375

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 56.2%
Current value: $673.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $526.2
Multiplier: 1.78x
User PnL: $49.8

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $669.69
Potential payout: $672.72
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: $239.15

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $485.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $287.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $212.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $192.49
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $307.48
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $495.15
Potential profit: $495.15
User PnL: -$206.86

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Header" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $397.77
Potential payout: $402.19
Potential profit: $4.42
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.17
Potential profit: $324.17
User PnL: -$125.42

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $118.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $181.5
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $85.47
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $214.53
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $116.13
Potential payout: $294
Potential profit: $177.87
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$117.29

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52.4%
Current value: $104.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $95.3
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $0.7

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $129
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $71
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "History" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $180
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $20
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0

New Zealand position

Spread: Belgium (-2.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $114.99
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $84.99
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Header" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $147.93
Potential payout: $149.2
Potential profit: $1.27
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $42.09
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $95.91
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137
Potential profit: $137
User PnL: -$105.49

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$80.6

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $127.38
Potential payout: $129.98
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $39.79

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 24-March 2?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.31

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.42

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.75

Yes position

Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $130.72

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.3

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.24

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.51

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 3-9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Iron Lung be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 10-16?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5

Over 54% 55 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 200 shares
Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Japan 29% 300 shares
Will the announcers say "Header" during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 98% 402.19 shares
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 32% 138 shares
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 13% 81.74 shares
Will the announcers say "Mexico" 5+ times during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 83% 86.52 shares
Will the announcers say "Header" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 98% 56.46 shares
Will the announcers say "Header" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 98% 92.74 shares
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

No 32.2% 91 shares
Will the announcers say "Record" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 35% 49.27 shares
Will the announcers say "History" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 83% 81.54 shares