No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $41.04K
- Potential payout
- $45.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.72K
Polymarket Trader
0x17c018F23d1bde0aa589f76570E4646938568eE9-1760345462552
0x17c018f23d1bde0aa589f76570e4646938568ee9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.05K
- Realized PnL
- $13.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.6K
- Potential profit
- $38.6K
- User PnL
- -$57.13
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.19K
- Potential profit
- $11.19K
- User PnL
- -$8K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.14
- Potential profit
- $157.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.12
- Potential profit
- $9.12
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.49K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $701.88
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $664.33
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $429.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.42
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.97
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.72
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.69
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.22
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.36
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.65
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 19?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.69
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98% 64.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 1,559.49 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 93% 64.52 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 91% 1,500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 525.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 25% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 83% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 80% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 54% 10 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 85.5% 1,500 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 1.7% 2,899.46 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 5,000 shares