No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $16.58K
- Potential payout
- $16.6K
- Potential profit
- $24.9
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Polymarket Trader
FDTpuissance
0x17c6b26eaeb2a6a2ef768ae0e27c9591e2a08aca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $70.31K
- Realized PnL
- $17.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.38K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $440.35
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $11.92K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $84
- User PnL
- $216
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $11.31K
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $690
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $870
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.29K
- Potential payout
- $7.29K
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- User PnL
- $209.54
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.6K
- Potential payout
- $5.62K
- Potential profit
- $14.05
- User PnL
- $603.94
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $5.24K
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $15.78
- User PnL
- $52.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $885.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.58
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.55
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $797.46
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $755.24
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.26
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.02
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $620.52
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.7
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.08
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.38
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.01
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $540
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $515.97
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.71
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.48
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.84
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 5,258.94 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 97.5% 12,000 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 97.1% 7,292.92 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.3% 5,200 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 95% 5,300 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 95.9% 5,251 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 79.6% 15,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.7% 25,000 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 94% 4,300 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 88% 11,400 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 89% 5,617.98 shares
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 94.7% 5,279.83 shares