Polymarket Trader

arbinho2

@lampucer6919

0x17cd3ac0db3a1f4df54effe8b5e9ac4b2316c944

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $364.26
Realized PnL: -$9.42
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $344.09
Potential payout: $809.62
Potential profit: $465.53
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$55.91

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.04
Potential profit: $162.04
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.97
Potential profit: $57.97
User PnL: -$40

Uruguay position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$20

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $20.18
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $14.91
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.18

Ecuador position

Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Over position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $21.84

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.14

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

IR Iran position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Jeff Bezos buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$109.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 57% 35.09 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?

Yes 74% 27.03 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

56.7% 35.26 shares
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Uruguay 42% 47.62 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

IR Iran 70% 35.08 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 57.97 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

IR Iran 57% 35.09 shares
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)

Ecuador 68% 29.41 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 58% 34.48 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 32.79 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49.4% 809.62 shares
Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Spain 81% 37.04 shares