No position
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $624.92
- Potential payout
- $638
- Potential profit
- $13.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Polymarket Trader
namemmonkey
@monkeymen371454
0x17de013aa8d3980d4b384339374ce6003a75b94e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $858.14
- Realized PnL
- $449
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $104.09
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $170.91
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$52.66
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $87.96
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.94
- Potential profit
- $68.94
- User PnL
- -$68.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.28
- Potential profit
- $64.28
- User PnL
- -$4.12
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.4%
- Current value
- $41.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.83
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Yoon arrested by Friday?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.85
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.81
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 72°F or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 98.1% 638 shares
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?No 98.9% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 97.1% 184 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?No 98.5% 125 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No 99% 300 shares
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?No 99% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 8?No 98.8% 72.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?No 99% 40.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?No 99.7% 361.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?No 99.7% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?No 99.2% 145 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 8?Yes 95% 118.56 shares