Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $426.17
- Potential payout
- $37.06K
- Potential profit
- $36.63K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $136.67
Polymarket Trader
smoltrader
0x17e5540bc696fd3e8b7da9101a93e4835c783d19
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.8K
- Realized PnL
- $239.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $36.51K
- Potential profit
- $32.93K
- Multiplier
- 10.20x
- User PnL
- $3.29K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.8K
- Potential payout
- $36.37K
- Potential profit
- $34.57K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $627.88
- Potential payout
- $35.88K
- Potential profit
- $35.25K
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $347.59
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $2.96K
- Potential payout
- $32.66K
- Potential profit
- $29.7K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $2.7K
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $31.87K
- Potential profit
- $30.49K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $385.95
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $30.49K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $144.75
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.2%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $29.95K
- Potential profit
- $27.79K
- Multiplier
- 13.89x
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $545.61
- Potential payout
- $29.49K
- Potential profit
- $28.95K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $315.21
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $719
- Potential payout
- $29.35K
- Potential profit
- $28.63K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $489.74
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $7.07K
- Potential payout
- $28.92K
- Potential profit
- $21.85K
- Multiplier
- 4.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.39K
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $421.96
- Potential payout
- $25.57K
- Potential profit
- $25.15K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $222.18
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $306.7
- Potential payout
- $21.15K
- Potential profit
- $20.85K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $141.46
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $225.55
- Potential payout
- $18.04K
- Potential profit
- $17.82K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $84.59
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $87.11
- Potential payout
- $11.61K
- Potential profit
- $11.53K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $156.28
- Potential payout
- $11.58K
- Potential profit
- $11.42K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $65.84
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $11.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $174.19
- Potential payout
- $11.24K
- Potential profit
- $11.06K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $86.4
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $218.18
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $9.98K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $138.54
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.52K
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.13K
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $327.19
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.67K
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $288.17
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $34.98
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.4
- User PnL
- $756.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $75.68K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $34.72K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.67K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.59K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.64K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $11.23K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.53K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.6% 105.3 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 7% 52 shares
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,615.02 shares
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 11,614.95 shares