No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.87K
- Potential profit
- $44.87K
- User PnL
- -$338.42
Polymarket Trader
Presumably
0x17ede7c3f9c31b2185161672139c0fd5013234c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $849.45
- Realized PnL
- $1.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$31.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$40
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $849.45
- Potential payout
- $993.51
- Potential profit
- $144.06
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $79.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $923.18
- Potential profit
- $923.18
- User PnL
- -$500
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $914.52
- Potential profit
- $914.52
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $769.23
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.36
- Potential profit
- $705.36
- User PnL
- -$70
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $624.41
- Potential profit
- $624.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.89
- Potential profit
- $516.89
- User PnL
- -$250
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $486.58
- Potential profit
- $486.58
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.42
- Potential profit
- $303.42
- User PnL
- -$175
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.67
- Potential profit
- $287.67
- User PnL
- -$60
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.04
- Potential profit
- $287.04
- User PnL
- -$150
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.97
- Potential profit
- $245.97
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.47
- Potential profit
- $231.47
- User PnL
- -$110
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.04
- Potential profit
- $198.04
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.61
- Potential profit
- $180.61
- User PnL
- -$110
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.52
- Potential profit
- $152.52
- User PnL
- -$14.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.1
- Potential profit
- $137.1
- User PnL
- -$41.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown 20% 32.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown 30.9% 32.34 shares
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No 92.2% 54.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 89% 5.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 86% 5.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 80% 64.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 78% 64.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 69% 6.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 76% 6.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 73% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp 58% 8.62 shares