Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $22.93
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Polymarket Trader
Adriellen
0x18042de70d4bad2cb871dbee229fd273e32eaad1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.45
- Realized PnL
- $83.35
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.17
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 22.93 shares
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No 92% 21.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 88% 190.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 190.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 74.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETUp 53% 47.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 74.63 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp 45% 66.67 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 77.1% 112.18 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 87.4% 112.18 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 77% 128.2 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 78% 128.21 shares