Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $14.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Polymarket Trader
one.piece
0x180a6723d150af39a5c40e0761321942e5728c61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.52
- Realized PnL
- $90.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $20.97
- Potential payout
- $48.21
- Potential profit
- $27.24
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$3.81
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $28.88
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $6.13
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $21.9
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $8.1
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $14.99
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $14.7
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $14.98
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.49
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Y
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
N
No position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Cristiano Sicari win the 2026 Chieti mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 92% 5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No 86% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 74% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 85% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 94.8% 4.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.3% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.1% 21.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 29 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.8% 571.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 95.6% 159 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 94.5% 243.92 shares