Bobo320

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $5.42K
User PnL: -$20

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$677.99

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$134

No position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$809.99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$130

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $64.17
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $64.17

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $899.98
Potential profit: $899.98
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $110.64
Potential payout: $763.01
Potential profit: $652.37
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $110.64

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $14.48
Potential payout: $474.82
Potential profit: $460.34
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $14.48

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460
Potential profit: $460
User PnL: -$124

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $400.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$9.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.83

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $404.1

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.7

Yes position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $272.72

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $254.74

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.6

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.64

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.9

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.79

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.85

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.59

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.6

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.86

No position

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84

No position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $75

No position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?