Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.4K
- Potential profit
- $24.4K
- User PnL
- -$639.96
Polymarket Trader
planetnine
0x183a2a0b034877e761af0778da5134bebc37d514
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.69K
- Realized PnL
- $121.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $246.32
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.04K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$614.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $244.76
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $44.76
Yes position
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $591.37
- Potential payout
- $961.58
- Potential profit
- $370.21
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $14.42
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.97
- Potential profit
- $899.97
- User PnL
- -$567.98
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $860
- Potential profit
- $860
- User PnL
- -$167
No position
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$416
CIN position
Spread: MIN (-3.5)
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $717.62
- Potential profit
- $717.62
- User PnL
- -$394.69
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $368.67
- Potential payout
- $576.04
- Potential profit
- $207.37
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $74.89
Rams position
49ers vs. Rams
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $467.53
- Potential profit
- $467.53
- User PnL
- -$260.8
Bills position
Bills vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $408.33
- Potential profit
- $408.33
- User PnL
- -$220
Yes position
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$140
Bengals position
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$204
Chiefs position
Chiefs vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.54
- Potential profit
- $366.54
- User PnL
- -$238.25
Giants position
Giants vs. Broncos
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.82
- Potential profit
- $357.82
- User PnL
- -$215.44
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Browns position
49ers vs. Browns
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $241.54
- Potential payout
- $313.69
- Potential profit
- $72.15
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $69.01
Chargers position
Commanders vs. Chargers
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $273.97
- Potential profit
- $273.97
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.9
- Potential profit
- $243.9
- User PnL
- -$200
Saints position
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.48
- Potential profit
- $241.48
- User PnL
- -$130.23
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Under position
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$100
Bengals position
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218
- Potential profit
- $218
- User PnL
- -$100.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Monday?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.62K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.33K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
Yes position
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47K
Yes position
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780.09
Yes position
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.9
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.31
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 320–334 times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.86
Chiefs position
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Lions position
Vikings vs. Lions
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.23
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?Yes 29% 344.83 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 1,904.76 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 57% 175.44 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)DR Congo 47% 212.77 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Under 47% 212.77 shares
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo 57% 175.44 shares
- France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Under 45% 222.22 shares
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over 49% 204.08 shares
- Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Over 38% 263.16 shares
- Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 64% 156.25 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 99.9% 434.78 shares