0xM18469A63386b393E4BBcB74621fFe36b81a932

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.94
Potential profit: $89.94
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Team Mirai be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.51
Potential profit: $75.51
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.39
Potential profit: $75.39
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.26
Potential profit: $75.26
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.92
Potential profit: $74.92
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 19 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.39
Potential profit: $74.39
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Reiwa Shinsengumi be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.55
Potential profit: $73.55
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.52
Potential profit: $73.52
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party of Japan be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.3
Potential profit: $73.3
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Team Mirai loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.19
Potential profit: $73.19
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by less than 130 seats?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.08
Potential profit: $73.08
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be less than 1,500,000?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.83
Potential profit: $72.83
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.8
Potential profit: $72.8
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.4
Potential profit: $72.4
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.82
Potential profit: $71.82
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.81
Potential profit: $71.81
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 100 and 109 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.71
Potential profit: $71.71
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.54
Potential profit: $71.54
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.09
Potential profit: $71.09
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.08
Potential profit: $71.08
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.07
Potential profit: $71.07
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.05
Potential profit: $71.05
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 160 and 169 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.64
Potential profit: $70.64
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.97M

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $240 and $250 on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.53

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.51

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.45

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.76

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.91

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?