trrr12

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $50.5
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.25
Potential profit: $25.25
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $22.44
Potential profit: $21.87
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 7.25x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.25
Potential profit: $15.25
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.26
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.87
Potential profit: $11.86
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 27?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $11.26
Potential profit: $11.03
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.22
Potential profit: $11.22
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $10.11
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $9.11
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.6
Potential profit: $8.6
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.48
Potential profit: $7.48
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $6.58
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 23.3%
Multiplier: 4.30x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 17?