Polymarket Trader

impaul

0x1851cc2a59239f189b52c51df00d3e1e4b537016

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.36K
Realized PnL: $9.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $5.22K
Potential payout: $5.37K
Potential profit: $150.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $580.09

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$894.55

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $939.95
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$94.05

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $674.1
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$112.35

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $225.77
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $245.18

Bayer 04 Leverkusen position

Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$543.98

No position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.56K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $0.78
User PnL: $561.72

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$50

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$391.31

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$594.22

No position

Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $211.42
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $32.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $848.26
Potential profit: $848.26
User PnL: -$13.4

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.19
Potential profit: $835.19
User PnL: -$127.16

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $627.54
Potential payout: $765.3
Potential profit: $137.75
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $626.58
Potential payout: $759.49
Potential profit: $132.91
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $26.58

No position

Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $717.61
Potential payout: $717.97
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $117.61

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.86
Potential profit: $684.86
User PnL: -$495.04

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $673.81
Potential profit: $673.81
User PnL: -$498.62

No position

Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $597.66
Potential profit: $597.66
User PnL: -$519.96

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $506.42
Potential profit: $506.42
User PnL: -$232.95

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$86.9

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $439.57
Potential payout: $485.71
Potential profit: $46.14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $99.57

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $466.96
Potential profit: $466.96
User PnL: -$26.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.43

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $611.69

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.94

AFC Bournemouth position

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

Yes position

Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.02

Over position

Perth Glory FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.67

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.67

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.85

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.02

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.9

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.78

No position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.04

No position

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.32

No position

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.99

No position

Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86.4% 5,371.15 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 95.8% 235.98 shares
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

No 93% 2,150.54 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

No 88% 2,272.73 shares
Will Iran be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

No 93.9% 106.44 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99% 1,010.2 shares
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.1% 369.76 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79% 759.49 shares
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 77.4% 258.41 shares
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64.6% 154.74 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 88.8% 112.6 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 88.9% 112.5 shares