Polymarket Trader

SaToshaOneLove

0x185eaffe73c99bcf03733fb06b518423547fc287

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.88
Realized PnL: $98.48
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.15
Potential profit: $210.15
User PnL: -$5.08

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.24
Potential profit: $165.24
User PnL: -$3.51

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.67
User PnL: -$4.15

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.2
Potential profit: $159.2
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.13
Potential profit: $146.13
User PnL: -$3.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.29
Potential profit: $127.29
User PnL: -$4.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.29
Potential profit: $116.29
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $107.65
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.67

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $94.91
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.25
Potential profit: $97.25
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $96.67
Potential profit: $95.99
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.57
Potential profit: $94.57
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $88.88
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$4.23

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $85.53
Potential profit: $83.56
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $82.63
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $83
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.11
Potential profit: $82.11
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$5.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.38
Potential profit: $78.38
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.19
Potential profit: $78.19
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $72.7
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.25
Potential profit: $75.25
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.43

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.16

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.6%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.2%
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.2% 36 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 3.3% 62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?

Yes 0.6% 17.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?

Yes 0.6% 17.86 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?

No 5% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?

No 6% 9.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?

No 5.2% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?

Yes 2.8% 12.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?

Yes 3.8% 11.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?

Yes 3.8% 11.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

No 5.2% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Yes 5% 11.12 shares