Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $155
- User PnL
- -$77.5
Polymarket Trader
83647834898732657834
0x185ec11458bf47ae910d9c362153880748b33ebb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.04
- Realized PnL
- $1.99
- Win rate
- 61.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $155
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $77.5
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.62
- Potential profit
- $25.62
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $9.46
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $9.3
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $108.25
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
No position
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
No position
Calin Georgescu arrested in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Will US gov sell Bitcoin before Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.2
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$107.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.04K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 86% 9.3 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 9.46 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes 15.6% 25.62 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 75% 14.67 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 74% 1,046.66 shares
- Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No 71% 7.04 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No 95.7% 104.49 shares
- US government shutdown in 2025?Yes 57% 5.26 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 85.1% 17.63 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?Yes 51% 23.53 shares
- Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 0.3% 2,250 shares
- Will another party win the most seats in the next German election?Yes 0.4% 2,250 shares